Processes

Build sub-surface development scenarios

How build sub-surface development scenarios are reshaped as AGI capability advances.

ProcessesBuild sub-surface development scenarios
Build sub-surface development scenarios — illustrated

The bottom line

Roughly 85% of the work in Build sub-surface development scenarios is information-shaped — already within reach of AI delivery. The question here is not whether it shifts, but which tasks go first and who staffs the residual.

Why: With no seeded child occupations, the scalar is derived from the process name and its industry anchor in upstream petroleum. 'Building sub-surface development scenarios' refers to reservoir modeling, geoscientific data analysis, and simulation—highly computer-based knowledge work that operates entirely in the digital realm before any physical drilling occurs.

grounded in the economy graph · digital scalar 0.85 · digital

Business-as-Code

Read as an executable program — the work decomposed into Code, Generative, Agentic, and Human.

Build sub-surface development scenarios sits inside a larger value-flow — 1 parent structure it composes into. The hierarchy is grounding, not the story: it tells you which aggregate exposure Build sub-surface development scenarios inherits.

The problems this exposes

Node-intrinsic problems read straight off the graph (exposesProblem) — the evergreen wedges a builder could take into this space.

Where Build sub-surface development scenarios sits

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How the work flows

Trigger: Approval of a characterized geological model for a newly discovered or appraised reservoir initiates scenario building.

  1. Ingest geological and reservoir characterization models
  2. Define reservoir depletion and recovery strategies
  3. Design well trajectories and subsurface completion parameters
  4. Simulate fluid flow and generate production forecasts
  5. Estimate capital and operational costs for each scenario
  6. Evaluate scenarios against economic constraints and risk factors

Outcome: Multiple viable sub-surface development scenarios with associated production forecasts and economic models are ready for final selection.

Measured by

Scenario Generation Cycle TimeEstimated Ultimate Recovery FactorSimulation AccuracyCost Per Scenario Modeled