Processes

Determine value and decide whether to pursue

How determine value and decide whether to pursue are reshaped as AGI capability advances.

ProcessesDetermine value and decide whether to pursue
Determine value and decide whether to pursue — illustrated

Business-as-Code

Read as an executable program — the work decomposed into Code, Generative, Agentic, and Human.

Determine value and decide whether to pursue sits inside a larger value-flow — 1 parent structure it composes into. The hierarchy is grounding, not the story: it tells you which aggregate exposure Determine value and decide whether to pursue inherits.

Where Determine value and decide whether to pursue sits

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How the work flows

Trigger: A geological prospect, asset acquisition, or exploration opportunity is identified and submitted for formal evaluation.

  1. Gather geological, geophysical, and preliminary engineering data
  2. Estimate recoverable reserves and forecast production profiles
  3. Determine estimated capital expenditures and operating expenses
  4. Run economic models to calculate expected return and risk exposure
  5. Evaluate the opportunity against portfolio strategy and capital constraints
  6. Present the valuation and risk assessment to the investment committee
  7. Record the final decision to approve, defer, or abandon the pursuit

Outcome: A formal investment decision is made to either allocate capital and pursue the opportunity or abandon it.

Measured by

Expected Monetary ValueInternal Rate Of ReturnOpportunity Evaluation Cycle TimeEvaluation Cost Per Prospect