Processes

Develop prospect definition

How develop prospect definition are reshaped as AGI capability advances.

ProcessesDevelop prospect definition
Develop prospect definition — illustrated

The bottom line

Roughly 80% of the work in Develop prospect definition is information-shaped — already within reach of AI delivery. The question here is not whether it shifts, but which tasks go first and who staffs the residual.

Why: Because no child occupations are seeded for this composite, the scalar is derived from the process name and industry lens. While the overarching 'Oil and Gas Extraction' industry is heavily physical, the specific 'Develop prospect definition' process represents the analytical, pre-drilling phase where geological and seismic data are interpreted to model drilling targets—a predominantly software-based knowledge work activity.

grounded in the economy graph · digital scalar 0.80 · digital

Business-as-Code

Read as an executable program — the work decomposed into Code, Generative, Agentic, and Human.

Develop prospect definition sits inside a larger value-flow — 1 parent structure it composes into. The hierarchy is grounding, not the story: it tells you which aggregate exposure Develop prospect definition inherits.

Where Develop prospect definition sits

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How the work flows

Trigger: A geological lead or play is identified as having potential hydrocarbon accumulation requiring detailed evaluation.

  1. Gather regional geological, geophysical, and well log data.
  2. Interpret seismic data to map subsurface structures and traps.
  3. Analyze reservoir rock properties, seal integrity, and migration pathways.
  4. Calculate estimated hydrocarbon volumes and ranges.
  5. Assess geological risks to determine the probability of success.
  6. Document the prospect definition and finalize drilling recommendations.

Outcome: A fully defined prospect is documented with estimated resource volumes, risk assessments, and a recommendation for exploratory drilling.

Measured by

Prospect Evaluation Cycle TimeGeological Probability Of SuccessResource Volume Estimate AccuracyCost Per Prospect Evaluated