Develop unconstrained forecast

Trigger: The demand planning cycle initiates or a new set of dealer and market data becomes available.

1. Aggregate historical sales, dealer sell-through data, and market indicators
2. Cleanse historical data to remove anomalies, previous promotions, and past stock-out impacts
3. Run statistical forecasting algorithms to generate baseline volume projections
4. Incorporate qualitative inputs from sales, marketing, and upcoming vehicle or part launch schedules
5. Compile the unconstrained demand figures across geographic regions and product hierarchies
6. Publish the raw forecast to supply planning for capacity and inventory reconciliation

Outcome: A complete, unconstrained demand forecast is published to the sales and operations planning team to be reconciled against actual supply capacity.